Football Betting Markets to Target
2022 Football Betting is Here and Here is Some Quality Strategy
How many football betting markets do you wager on? Is it better to have just one or two? Should you have multiple? Should you try to bet them all? Many handicappers have many different theories.
Key Points on Football Betting Markets
– There are numerous football betting markets to target each year.
– NFL point spreads and totals are among the most popular football betting markets.
Getting to Know Football Betting Markets
The NFL and college football seasons command the attention of millions of sports bettors when both begin in the fall. The NFL is the most-bet sport in the U.S. and its championship game – the Super Bowl – takes in over $7 billion in wagers. Your football picks will matter.
The games are exciting to watch and are even more fun to watch when you have wagered on them. If you are looking to have success in the upcoming football season, here are some football betting markets to target.
NFL Totals
Betting NFL totals is one of the popular ways to wager on games. Scoring is pretty static in the NFL. A touchdown is always worth six points and a field goal is always three.
The highest scoring teams in the NFL usually average around 30 points per game. The lowest scorers are typically around 15 to 16 points per game. All 32 teams combined usually average between 22 and 24 points per game in a given season. With that in mind, it’s easy to see why so many NFL game totals are in the 44 to 48 range.
The most common final point total in the NFL is 41, which occurs 3.9 percent of the time. Final scores totaling 37 and 44 points are next. Both occur 3.8 percent of the time.
The NFL moved the extra-point back to the 15-yard line in 2015. Prior to the change, NFL kickers hit over 99 percent of their PATs. Now, that number is just over 93 percent. That one change has altered NFL totals at top football sportsbooks.
Before the rule change, 44 was the most common NFL point total with 4.1 percent of games landing on it. After the change, 44 moved to the 10th-most common point total. Since the rule change, 43 has been the most common NFL total (2015-present).
Understanding this data can help the NFL totals bettor find value bets in the NFL totals market.
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Super Bowl Futures
As soon as the previous Super Bowl is complete, the odds for the next one are released. The Super Bowl futures market is a great way to capitalize on some long odds.
In any given year, it is common to find a Super Bowl favorite listed between +500 and +1000 odds. That means NFL bettors can find strong contenders and even some longshots at great odds.
Bettors have won some big money targeting solid contenders in the Super Bowl futures market. Take the 2021 season as an example. The Los Angeles Rams opened at +1400 to win it all. The Rams started the season 7-1 and their odds dropped to a low of +700 in Week 9 of the season. When the regular season ended, the Rams were offered at +900. A $100 bettor at the beginning of the season won $1400 while even the end-of-season bettor would clear $900.
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NFL Point Spreads – Most Popular Football Betting Markets
The point spread is the great equalizer in the NFL. Betting the spread is very popular in NFL games. There are some keys for bettors to understand when betting on the point spread.
The final margin in an NFL game lands on 3 more than any other number. In fact, 14.8 percent of all NFL games end with a margin of victory of three points. The four most common margins of victory are 3, 7, 6, and 10.
More than any other number, most point spreads in NFL games are listed at 3. Bettors work to get off 3 by finding underdogs at +3.5 and favorites at -2.5. A solid understanding of the numbers can help the average NFL bettor win more point spread bets.
Nomatter what, we are here to help you find the right sportsbook for football in 2022.
Win Totals
NFL bettors can find value in the win totals market where they wager on a team going Over or Under a given total number of wins.
Betting in the win totals market is based on a number of factors. There is always turnover in a team’s roster each year. What a team does in free agency or in the offseason trade market can have an impact on the following season’s win totals. The same goes for the draft. A number of key draft picks can influence a team’s win total.
The NFL schedule is another factor. Remember, all NFL teams play the other teams in their division twice each season. A team then plays all four teams in a division within its own conference as well as all four teams in a division from the other conference.
Sometimes, the schedule gods are with you and a team plays in a weak division and then plays two other divisions that aren’t much better. Smarter NFL bettors will find some value in the win totals market on small plus-money picks.